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Agency State Council of Higher Education for Virginia (245)
Measure Name Percent of institutions' aggregated degree estimates that are accurate.
Measure Last Modified
08-30-2024 03:08 p.m.
Measure Last Published
08-29-2024 02:16 p.m.
Status
Active
Data Source and Calculation
In consultation with SCHEV, each public institution of higher education develops an estimate of the number of degrees it projects to award in each of the next six years. Each institution also reports to SCHEV annually its actual number of degrees awarded. This measure is calculated as the total number of accurate degree estimates divided by the total number of estimates received for a given year, with 'accurate' defined as an institution's degree-award total being within five percentage points (above or below) of its projected estimate.
Enterprise Priorities and Strategies
Initiative Priority Strategy
Workforce Credentialing Establish annual goals and identify ways to increase statewide credentials that align with employer current and future needs.
Associated Service Areas
Service Area Code Service Area Name
11104 Higher Education Coordination and Review
Targets and Baselines
Name Date Result Note
Baseline 06-01-2018 73.0
Short Target 2025 06-30-2025 75.0
Long Target 2027 06-30-2025 75.0
Results
Year Result Note
2015 95
2016 47 Of the 53 percent of institutions' degree-award estimates that were inaccurate, only 12 percent were inaccurate because of an institution's inability to produce at least 95 percent of the number of degree awards it projected. The majority (41 percent) of the inaccuracies were estimates that under-projected the number of degrees produced (i.e., the number of degrees awarded by an institution was more than five percent above its estimate). While having many institutions exceed their estimates is a positive result in terms of the number of degrees awarded, these under-estimates present challenges for state policymakers in planning and funding decisions, which is why this measure is constructed this way.
2017 73 Of the 27 percent of institutions' degree-award estimates that were inaccurate, 13.5 percent were inaccurate because of an institution's inability to produce at least 95 percent of the number of degree awards it projected and 13.5 percent were incorrect because the institution under-projected the number of degrees produced (i.e., the number of degrees awarded by an institution was more than five percent above its estimate). While having institutions exceed their estimates is a positive result in terms of the number of degrees awarded, under-estimates present challenges for state policymakers in planning and funding decisions, which is why this measure is constructed this way.
2018 Of the XX percent of institutions' degree-award estimates that were inaccurate, XX percent were inaccurate because of an institution's inability to produce at least 95 percent of the number of degree awards it projected and XX percent were incorrect because the institution under-projected the number of degrees produced (i.e., the number of degrees awarded by an institution was more than five percent above its estimate). While having institutions exceed their estimates is a positive result in terms of the number of degrees awarded, under-estimates present challenges for state policymakers in planning and funding decisions, which is why this measure is constructed this way.
2019 Institutions will report their degree awards for 2018-19 to SCHEV in Fall 2019, and SCHEV will report performance on this measure in Spring 2020.
2020
2021
2022 Institutions will report their degree awards for 2021-22 to SCHEV in Fall 2022, and SCHEV will report performance on this measure in Spring 2023.
2023
2024 Institutions will report their degree awards for 2023-24 to SCHEV in Fall 2024, and SCHEV will report performance on this measure in Spring 2025.
2025
Measure ID 245.0001
Measure Class Agency Key
Measure Type Outcome
Year Type State FY
Preferred Trend Stable
Frequency Annually
Statistical Unit Percentage
sp134 Performance Measure - 06-07-2025 18:16:54